Window Shopping: Leicester City

Despite a promising start, Claude Puel’s Leicester ended the season on a somewhat flat note. At one point in the season it looked as though Leicester may challenge Burnley for the ‘best of the rest’ 7th spot, but some disappointing form – particularly at home – between February and May meant Leicester finished 7 points […]

Window Shopping: Trying to find a new striker for West Ham

Since the summer window of 2013/14, if you include loan signings and free agents, West Ham have signed 11 strikers. However, despite averaging just under two new strikers a season, West Ham still seem to be having problems with who leads the line. Andy Carroll has frequent injury problems, missing 32 games since the start […]

Window Shopping: Per Possession and Two Bundesliga Left-Backs

While the January transfer window isn’t seen as the best time to buy players, many clubs will most likely still look to bring people in this winter. To try and find some players I thought it’d be interesting to implement a per ‘possession’ way of normalising the numbers and seeing what interesting names pop up. […]

Looking Into Leicester’s Hire Of Claude Puel

After an 8th place finish and League Cup final in his first season at Southampton, it seemed as though Claude Puel was unlucky to lose his job with the Saints. A poor end to the league campaign saw them only win 1 of their last 8 and go 5 home matches without scoring. Southampton decided […]

Exploring Expected Goals With StrataBet Data: Part Three – Creativity II

Following on from part two which looked at the action that preceded a shot, part three will take a step back and look at the secondary assist – the action before the action that preceded the shot. The secondary assist isn’t something that is regularly recorded in football but provides an interesting look at players […]

Exploring Expected Goals with StrataBet Data: Part Two – Creativity I

After looking at how the defensive side influences the expected goal value of a shot in part one, part two will look at how the attacking side impacts a shots value by looking at what action preceded it. The plot that I used in part one to show how the probability of a goal decreases […]

Exploring Expected Goals with StrataBet Data: Part One – Under Pressure

Expected goals has quickly become the main metric in measuring both team and player performances over recent seasons, but it still isn’t without its flaws. One big flaw that is usually referred to is that it doesn’t take into account the actions of the defensive side. A shot from the penalty spot is treated the […]